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ÀÛ¼ºÀÏ 2020-09-27

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Áö³­ 2016³â 12¿ù ºÏÇÑÀÌ Àü¼±Æ÷º´ºÎ´ëÀÇ Å¸°ÝÈÆ·Ã ¸ð½ÀÀ» °ø°³Çß´Ù.
Áö³­ 2016³â 12¿ù ºÏÇÑÀÌ Àü¼±Æ÷º´ºÎ´ëÀÇ Å¸°ÝÈÆ·Ã ¸ð½ÀÀ» °ø°³Çß´Ù.
¹®ÀçÀÎ Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ ÁÖÀåÇÑ ¡®Á¾Àü¼±¾ð¡¯ ³íÀǸ¦ ÇÏ·Á¸é Çѱ¹À» °Ü³ÉÇØ ÀüÁø¹èÄ¡µÈ ºÏÇÑ º´·Â°ú ¹«±âºÎÅÍ Ã¶¼öÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°üÀÇ ÁöÀûÀÌ ³ª¿Ô½À´Ï´Ù. Àü¸éÀü ż¼¿¡ ÁýÁßÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ ±×·± ¼±¾ð¿¡ °ü½ÉÀ» °¡Áú ¸® ¾ø´Â ¸¸Å­, Çѱ¹Àº Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ¾ïÁö·Â °­È­¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃâ ¶§¶ó°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¹é¼º¿ø ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°üÀº ¡°Çѱ¹ÀüÀïÀÇ °ø½ÄÀûÀÎ Á¾ÀüÀº ³²ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¸ðµç »ç¶÷µé¿¡°Ô ÃÖ¼±ÀÇ °á°úÀÌÁö¸¸, ¾î¶² ¹æ¹ýÀ¸·Î ±×·¸°Ô ÇÒ °ÍÀÎÁö°¡ ¹®Á¦¡±¶ó°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°Of course ending the Korean War formally would be the very best outcome for all the Korean people. The question is how to do it? Please know that war can only be ended when both sides fully agree to end the conflict. Additionally, both sides must -- must --demonstrate clear and verifiable terminations of postures and capabilities to continue the conflict.¡±
¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü.
2006³âºÎÅÍ 2008³â±îÁö ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü°ú À¯¿£±º»ç·É°ü, Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç·É°üÀ» °âÇß´ø º§ Àü »ç·É°üÀº 24ÀÏ VOA¿¡ ¡°¾çÃøÀÌ Ãæµ¹À» ³¡³»°Ú´Ù°í ¿ÏÀüÈ÷ µ¿ÀÇÇÏ°í, Ãæµ¹À» °è¼ÓÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ±º ż¼¿Í ¿ª·®À» ºÐ¸íÇÏ°í °ËÁõ °¡´ÉÇÏ°Ô Ã¶È¸ÇØ¾ß Á¾ÀüÀÌ °¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù´Â »ç½ÇÀ» ¾Ë¾Æ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
ƯÈ÷ ¡°Çѱ¹ÀüÀÌ ³¡³µ´Ù°í ¼±¾ðÇÏ·Á¸é ºÏÇÑÀÇ »çÀü Á¶Ä¡°¡ Çʼö¡±¶ó¸ç, ¿ì¼± ¡°ºñ¹«ÀåÁö´ë(DMZ) ºÏÂÊ¿¡ ¹èÄ¡µÅ ¼­¿ï°ú Çѱ¹ÀÇ ´Ù¸¥ ºÏÂÊ Áö¿ª µµ½ÃµéÀ» À§ÇùÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ´ëÆ÷¿Í ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¿ª·®À» Á¦°ÅÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¡°´ëÆ÷¸¦ Çѱ¹¿¡ À§ÇùÀÌ µÇ´Â »çÁ¤±Ç ÈξÀ ¹Ù±ùÂÊ¿¡ ÀÖ´Â, ¹Ì¸® Á¤ÇسõÀº ¼± ºÏÂÊÀ¸·Î ÈÄÅð½ÃÄÑ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±´Â Á¶°ÇÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°So, a declaration of the end of the Korean War can only be considered when the north accomplishes the following: Remove the artillery and missile capability which is postured along the north side of the DMZ which threatens Seoul and other northern South Korean cities. This artillery must be carried north to a predetermined line which is well beyond their range to threaten the south.¡±
¶ÇÇÑ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀº °ø¼¼ÀûÀÎ Áö»ó °ø°Ý ÁøÇüÀ» °®Ãá ä ÀüÁø ¹èÄ¡µÅ ÀÖ´Â ´ë±Ô¸ð º´·Â°ú ź¾à, ¿¬·á, ´Ù¸¥ ±º¼öÇ°µéÀ» ºñ¹«ÀåÁö´ë Àαٿ¡¼­ ÈξÀ ºÏÂÊ¿¡ ÀÖ´Â ¼± ¹ÛÀ¸·Î ö¼ö½ÃÄÑ Çѱ¹¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ±â½À Áö»ó °ø°ÝÀÌ ºÒ°¡´ÉÇϵµ·Ï Á¶Ä¡ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±´Â Á¶°ÇÀ» µÎ ¹ø°·Î Á¦½ÃÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°The north must disengage their large forward deployed troop offensive ground war formations and forward positioned ammunition, fuel and other logistics from their positions near the DMZ to a line well north where launching a surprise ground attack against the South would not be possible.¡±
±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÀÌ µÎ°¡Áö Á¶°Ç¿¡ µ¿ÀÇÇÑ´Ù¸é Çѱ¹Àü Á¾Àü ¼±¾ð¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÁøÁöÇÑ ³íÀÇ°¡ °¡´ÉÇÒ ¼öµµ ÀÖ°ÚÁö¸¸, ÇØ´ç Á¶°ÇÀÌ ¿ÏÀüÈ÷ ÀÌÇàµÉ ¶§±îÁö Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀ» Àý´ë ³íÇÏÁö ¸»¾Æ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°If the north agreed to these two conditions then serious discussions regarding a declaration to the end of the Korean War could potentially take place. However, no declaration to end the war should be even discussed until these two conditions are fully implemented. Once implemented, talks regarding a peace treaty could begin. Throughout this process, the United States should retain OPCON as long as the north possesses nuclear weapons.¡±
ÀÌ¾î ¡°¸¸¾à ±×·± Á¶°ÇÀÌ ÀÌÇàµÈ´Ù¸é ÆòÈ­Á¶¾à °ü·Ã ´ëÈ­¸¦ ½ÃÀÛÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ» °Í¡±À̶ó¸é¼­µµ ¡°ÀÌ·± ÀýÂ÷°¡ ÁøÇàµÇ´Â µ¿¾È¿¡µµ, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ º¸À¯ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â ÇÑ Àü½ÃÀÛÀüÅëÁ¦±ÇÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ °®°í ÀÖ¾î¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
º§ Àü »ç·É°üÀº ¡°ºÏÇÑÀº Á¾Àü¼±¾ð¿¡ °ü½ÉÀÌ ¾ø´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°±×µéÀº Çѱ¹¿¡ ´ëÇÑ À§Çù°ú µµ¹ß ¿ª·®, ±×¸®°í Àü¸éÀü ¼öÇà ż¼¿¡¸¸ °ü½ÉÀ» ½ñ°íÀÖ´Ù¡±°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¡°ºÏÇÑÀº ÀڽŵéÀÇ ÁÖµµ ÇÏ¿¡ Çѹݵµ¸¦ ÅëÀÏÇÒ ¶§±îÁö, ȤÀº ¡®Áß±¹ÀÇ »óÀü(Chinese masters)¡¯ÀÌ ÆòÈ­¸¦ Áö½ÃÇÒ ¶§±îÁö ÀÌ·± ŵµ¸¦ ¹Ù²ÙÁö ¾ÊÀ» °Í¡±À̶ó´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°I do not believe the north cares about declarations. What they care about is capability to intimidate, provoke and their readiness conduct general war against the South. They will not change this posture until they reunify the Korean Peninsula under their terms; or they are directed to make peace by their Chinese masters.¡±
´õ ³ª¾Æ°¡ ¡°½ÇÁúÀûÀÎ ÁøÀüÀº Áß±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ±Øµµ·Î °ø°ÝÀûÀÎ ÀüÀï Áغñż¼¸¦ ³¡³»±â ¿øÇÒ¶§ ÀÌ·ïÁú ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù¡±°í ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü] ¡°When the Chinese desire that north Korea's extreme readiness for an offensive war with South Korea is to be terminated, then real progress can be made. Until that day comes, South Korea and its ally the United States must remain committed to deterrence through military strength and readiness. Only deterrence through military strength will deter the north at this point.¡±.
º§ Àü »ç·É°üÀº ¡°±× ¶§±îÁö Çѱ¹°ú ¹Ì±¹Àº ±º»ç·Â°ú Áغñż¼¸¦ ÅëÇÑ ¾ïÁö·Â À¯Áö¿¡ Àü³äÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°ÇöÀç·Î¼± ¿ÀÁ÷ ±º»ç·ÂÀ» ÅëÇÑ ¾ïÁö·Â¸¸ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀ» ¾ïÁ¦ÇÒ °Í¡±À̶ó°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
ºòÅÍ Â÷ ¹Ì Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS) Çѱ¹¼®ÁÂ.
ÇÑÆí, ºòÅÍ Â÷ Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS) Çѱ¹¼®Á´ 24ÀÏ VOA¿¡ ¡°¹Ì±¹°ú Áß±¹ Á¤»óÀÌ ¼­·Î À¸¸£··´ë°í ÀÖ´Â »óȲ¿¡¼­ ¹®ÀçÀÎ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ ¿¬¼³ÀÌ ³²ºÏ °£ ÆòÈ­¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃá °ÍÀº ´Ù¼Ò ¸ð¼øÀû¡±À̶ó°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
[ºòÅÍ Â÷ CSIS Çѱ¹¼®Á / Àü NSC ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ ´ã´ç ±¹Àå] ¡°I think it is mildly ironic that Moon's speech focused on inter-Korean peace while the US and PRC presidents were at each other's throats. How is Korean peace possible without cooperation between the US and China?¡±
¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸È¸ÀÇ ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ ´ã´ç ±¹ÀåÀ» Áö³½ ºòÅÍ Â÷ ¼®Á´ ¡°¹Ì±¹°ú Áß±¹ °£ Çù·ÂÀÌ ¾øÀÌ Çѹݵµ ÆòÈ­°¡ ¾î¶»°Ô °¡´ÉÇÏ°Ú´À³Ä¡±°í ¹Ý¹®Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
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